Resources and Infrastructure: A new Madrid report argues that phosphate, fisheries, water-intensive farming, renewable energy and the Dakhla Atlantic Port are tying Western Sahara more closely to Morocco’s economy, while Sahrawis are marginalised. It also warns tourism and new air links could normalise Morocco’s control. Legal Risks: The report says EU–Morocco agreements cannot apply to Western Sahara without Sahrawi consent, citing 2024 EU court rulings. Polisario has launched legal action in Spain to revoke Ryanair’s Dakhla flight permits, raising potential risks for airlines and investors. Investor Interest: French business representatives explored partnerships in the southern provinces, with Dakhla officials highlighting opportunities in marine industries, renewables, green hydrogen, logistics and industry. Renewables: A separate international study of energy projects, including in Western Sahara, warns that local communities can be excluded from benefits and face social and environmental costs.
AGP Executive Report
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Policy Shift: Washington is pressing to move Western Sahara talks away from an independence referendum and toward autonomy under Moroccan sovereignty, while proposing to wind down MINURSO by April 2027—a potential change in the territory’s political and investment landscape. Dakhla Flights: Polisario has launched legal action in Spain to revoke Ryanair’s authorisation to fly to Dakhla, arguing the routes use the territory’s airspace without Sahrawi consent. Investor Interest: French business leaders met with regional investment officials in Bordeaux on October 23 to explore partnerships in the southern provinces, including Dakhla opportunities in renewable energy, green hydrogen, logistics and marine resources. Green Hydrogen: A study models producing about 510 tonnes of hydrogen a year from surplus power at the Aftissat wind farm, at an estimated cost of €2.87 per kilogram; the proposal remains untested in operation. Community Impacts: A separate study of renewable-energy disputes, including cases in Western Sahara, warns that major projects can exclude local communities from benefits and harm livelihoods.
Dakhla Flights: The Polisario Front says it is taking Ryanair’s Madrid and Lanzarote services to Dakhla to Spanish court, seeking to revoke flight authorization. The case challenges the airline’s commercial operations and marketing of the destination. Investor Interest: French businesses met with investment officials in Bordeaux to explore partnerships in Morocco’s southern provinces, including opportunities in Dakhla-Oued Eddahab’s blue economy, renewables, logistics and marine industries. Renewable Projects: An international study of energy-sector conflicts includes cases in Western Sahara and warns that large projects can leave local communities without a fair share of benefits and overlook social and environmental costs. Fertilizer Supply: China has shipped 30,000 tonnes of ammonia to Morocco on a new route, as the country seeks to diversify supplies for its fertilizer industry. OCP is also developing green-ammonia projects in Tarfaya.
Clean Energy: A study models using curtailed power from Western Sahara’s Aftissat wind farm to produce about 510 tonnes of green hydrogen a year, at an estimated €2.87 per kilogram. The projections are not yet a real-world project. Local Returns: An international study of renewable-energy projects, including cases in Western Sahara, says corporate sustainability claims can obscure harms to communities and their exclusion from financial benefits. Morocco’s Market Reforms: The government says it will target market collusion and require companies awarded public contracts to direct 30% of contract value to Moroccan small businesses. Fertiliser Trade: Algeria has reportedly told producers to halt urea exports to France, putting a trade worth about $219 million last year at risk. The reported restriction is tied to the diplomatic rift over France’s support for Morocco’s Western Sahara autonomy plan; neither the Algerian government nor producers had publicly confirmed it.
Renewable Energy: An international study of 15 projects, including one in Western Sahara, warns that corporate sustainability claims can obscure local impacts and unequal sharing of benefits. Green Hydrogen: A study models using surplus power from the Aftissat wind farm to produce about 510 tonnes of green hydrogen a year at an estimated €2.87 per kilogram; this is a projection, not an operating project. Fertilizer Supply: China has shipped 30,000 tonnes of liquid ammonia to Morocco on a new route, as the country seeks to diversify supplies for its fertilizer industry. Tourism Marketing: Ireland’s advertising watchdog preliminarily found that Ryanair’s promotion of Dakhla as a Moroccan destination may mislead travelers and advised against republishing it in its current form; a final decision is pending.
Fertiliser Trade: China shipped 30,000 tonnes of ammonia to Morocco, opening a new supply route as OCP faces high input costs and works to develop green ammonia. Green Hydrogen: A model suggests curtailed power from Western Sahara’s Aftissat wind farm could produce about 510 tonnes of hydrogen a year at €2.87 per kilogram; the proposal remains untested in practice. Local Impacts: A study of renewable-energy conflicts, including in Western Sahara, warns that communities can be shut out of financial returns and face harm to their livelihoods. Economic Policy: Morocco’s new government targets average annual growth of 5% through 2031 and says public contracts will require companies to direct 30% of their value to local small and medium-sized businesses. Dakhla Tourism: Ireland’s advertising watchdog has preliminarily found Ryanair’s promotion of Dakhla as a Moroccan destination may mislead travellers, recommending the ad not be reused in its current form. Trade Tensions: Algeria has reportedly told producers to halt urea exports to France, putting a trade worth about $219 million in 2025 at risk amid diplomatic strains linked to Paris’s support for Morocco’s autonomy plan.
UN Draft: A US-backed Security Council draft is expected to make Morocco’s autonomy plan the basis for negotiations on Western Sahara; the text has not yet been authenticated, and its final wording could shape the territory’s political and investment climate. Renewable Energy: A study of 15 projects, including in Western Sahara, reports conflicts over community rights and economic returns. Separately, a model estimates Aftissat wind-farm surplus power could produce about 510 tonnes of green hydrogen a year at €2.87 per kilogram, though real-world feasibility remains untested. Dakhla Travel: Ireland’s advertising watchdog has preliminarily found that Ryanair’s promotion of Dakhla as a Moroccan destination may mislead travelers; a final ruling is pending. Fertilizer Supply: China has shipped 30,000 tonnes of ammonia to Morocco on a new route, helping diversify supplies for the fertilizer sector as OCP faces high input costs.
Renewables and Communities: A new international study examining 15 renewable-energy disputes, including one in Western Sahara, says corporate projects can leave local communities without fair economic returns and overlook social and environmental costs. Fertiliser Trade: Algeria reportedly told producers to halt urea exports to France, putting trade worth about $219 million last year at risk. The move is unconfirmed by Algiers and comes amid tensions linked to France’s support for Morocco’s Western Sahara autonomy plan. Ammonia Supply: China shipped 30,000 tonnes of liquid ammonia to Morocco on a new route, helping diversify supplies for the fertiliser sector. Morocco imported about $1.77 billion of ammonia in 2024; OCP is investing in domestic green-ammonia production. Western Sahara Energy: A study models using surplus power from the Aftissat wind farm to produce around 510 tonnes of green hydrogen annually at an estimated €2.87 per kilogram. Economic Policy: Morocco’s new government programme targets average annual growth of 5% through 2031 and requires companies with public contracts to allocate 30% of their value to small and medium-sized firms.
Fertilizer Trade: Algeria has reportedly told producers to halt urea exports to France, extending trade restrictions amid a diplomatic rift tied to Western Sahara. The move is unconfirmed by Algiers and could disrupt fertilizer trade. Ammonia Supply: Morocco has received a 30,000-tonne ammonia shipment from China on a new route, diversifying supplies for its fertilizer industry. OCP is also investing in green ammonia to reduce reliance on imports. Economic Policy: Morocco’s new government targets 5% average annual growth through 2031, inflation near 2% and public debt of 62% of GDP. It also plans to curb market collusion and require companies winning public contracts to direct 30% of contract value to local small and medium-sized firms. Clean Energy: A study models using surplus power from Western Sahara’s Aftissat wind farm to produce about 510 tonnes of green hydrogen annually; the proposal still needs real-world testing. Separately, research on renewable-energy projects, including one in Western Sahara, warns that local communities can miss out on benefits and face harm to their livelihoods. Dakhla Tourism: Ireland’s advertising watchdog has preliminarily found Ryanair’s promotion of Dakhla as a Moroccan destination could mislead travelers, recommending the ad not run again in its current form.
Fertilizer Trade: China’s 30,000-ton ammonia shipment opens a new supply route for Morocco’s fertilizer industry, which faces high import costs. OCP is investing in green ammonia, including projects in Tarfaya. Green Hydrogen: A study models how surplus power from Western Sahara’s Aftissat wind farm could produce about 510 tonnes of hydrogen a year at €2.87 per kilogram; real-world feasibility remains untested. Local Impacts: Research on renewable energy projects, including cases in Western Sahara, warns that communities can be excluded from economic returns and face social and environmental costs. Dakhla Tourism: Ireland’s advertising watchdog has preliminarily found Ryanair’s promotion of Dakhla as a Moroccan destination potentially misleading and recommended the ad not run again in its current form; a final decision is pending. Business Policy: Morocco’s new government targets average annual growth of 5% through 2031 and pledges action against market collusion, while requiring companies with public contracts to allocate 30% of their value to small and medium-sized businesses.
Fertilizer Supply: China shipped 30,000 tonnes of ammonia to Morocco, helping diversify imports used by OCP. Morocco spent about $1.77 billion on ammonia in 2024; the new route’s future capacity is unclear as OCP invests in domestic green ammonia. Green Hydrogen: A study models turning surplus power from Western Sahara’s Aftissat wind farm into 510 tonnes of hydrogen a year at €2.87 per kilogram. The project is a proposal, not a confirmed commercial operation. Community Impacts: Research examining renewable-energy projects, including in Western Sahara, warns that corporate sustainability claims can mask harm to local livelihoods and unequal sharing of returns. Trade: Morocco remained Spain’s top fresh-produce supplier by value, with shipments worth €982 million in January–July. Andalusia’s government is pressing Madrid over imports, including tomatoes from Western Sahara. Economic Policy: Morocco’s new government targets average annual growth of 5% through 2031 and inflation near 2%, while pledging action against market collusion and requiring firms with public contracts to direct 30% of their value to small and medium-sized businesses.
Agricultural Trade: Andalusia’s agriculture minister says Spanish farmers are poorly protected from competition with Moroccan imports, particularly tomatoes from Western Sahara. Dakhla Marketing: Ireland’s advertising watchdog has preliminarily found Ryanair’s promotion of Dakhla as a Moroccan destination potentially misleading and recommended the ad not be reused in its current form; a final decision is pending. Spanish Imports: Morocco was Spain’s leading fresh-produce supplier by value in the first seven months of 2026, with shipments worth €982 million and totaling nearly 374,000 tonnes. Green Energy: A study estimates that surplus power from the Aftissat wind farm could produce about 510 tonnes of green hydrogen annually at €2.87 per kilogram, though the system remains a modeled proposal. Market Reforms: Morocco’s government says it will target collusion and monopolies and require firms awarded public contracts to allocate 30% of contract value to small and medium-sized businesses.
Travel and Tourism: Ireland’s advertising watchdog has preliminarily found that Ryanair’s promotion of Dakhla as a Moroccan destination could mislead travelers, recommending the ad not be republished in its current form; a final decision is pending. Agricultural Trade: Morocco supplied Spain with €982 million of fresh fruit and vegetables in the first seven months of 2026, the highest value of any supplier. Andalusia has separately criticized Spain’s handling of agricultural imports, including tomatoes from Western Sahara. Clean Energy: A model of the Aftissat wind farm suggests curtailed power could produce about 510 tonnes of green hydrogen a year at an estimated €2.87 per kilogram; the proposal still needs real-world feasibility testing.
Agricultural Trade: Andalusia has accused Spain’s government of not protecting farmers from Moroccan produce imports, challenging the use of EU trade preferences for goods from Western Sahara. Morocco supplied Spain with €982 million in fresh fruit and vegetables in the first seven months of 2026, amid growing political pressure over import rules. Dakhla Marketing: Ireland’s advertising watchdog has preliminarily found Ryanair’s promotion of Dakhla as a Moroccan destination could mislead travelers and recommended the ad not be reused in its current form; a final decision is pending. Green Hydrogen: A study models using curtailed power from the Aftissat wind farm in Western Sahara to produce about 510 tonnes of green hydrogen annually at an estimated €2.87 per kilogram. The proposal still needs real-world feasibility testing.
Produce Trade: Morocco was Spain’s leading fresh fruit and vegetable supplier by value in January–July, with shipments worth €982 million. Andalusia accused Madrid of failing to protect farmers amid competition from imports, including tomatoes from Western Sahara. Green Energy: A model estimates that curtailed power from Western Sahara’s Aftissat wind farm could produce about 510 tonnes of green hydrogen a year at €2.87 per kilogram; the proposal still needs real-world testing. Tourism: Ireland’s advertising watchdog preliminarily found Ryanair’s promotion of Dakhla as a Moroccan destination could mislead travelers and recommended the ad not run in its current form; a final decision is pending. Business Rules: Morocco’s head of government pledged stronger action against market collusion and said companies winning public contracts would have to allocate 30% of contract value to Moroccan small and medium-sized businesses.
Dakhla Tourism: Ireland’s advertising watchdog has preliminarily found Ryanair’s promotion of Dakhla as a Moroccan destination potentially misleading and recommended the ad not be reused in its current form; a final decision is pending. Investment: French business leaders have been scouting opportunities in Dakhla-Oued Eddahab, though details of potential projects have not been reported. Competition and SMEs: Morocco’s government says it will target market collusion and scrutinize public tenders, while requiring companies awarded public contracts to allocate 30% of their contract value to small and medium-sized businesses. Trade: Morocco remained Spain’s top fresh-produce supplier by import value in the first seven months of 2026, with shipments worth €982 million.
Economic Policy: Moroccan Prime Minister Fatima Zahra Mansouri pledged stronger action against market collusion and public-contract fraud. Her government plans to require firms winning public contracts to direct 30% of their contract value to small and medium-sized businesses, alongside new cost-of-living support. Tourism and Trade: Ireland’s advertising watchdog has preliminarily found Ryanair’s promotion of Dakhla as a Moroccan destination potentially misleading and recommended the ad not run again in its current form; a final decision is pending. Investment: French business leaders visited Dakhla-Oued Eddahab to explore investment opportunities. Food Supply: Morocco remained Spain’s leading fresh-produce supplier by value in January–July, with shipments worth €982 million.
Dakhla Investment: French business leaders visited Dakhla to explore opportunities in fishing, tourism, agriculture, industry and renewable energy. Regional officials highlighted the planned Atlantic port and the area’s links to African markets. Spain Trade: Morocco was Spain’s top fresh-produce supplier by value in January–July, with shipments worth €982 million; it ranked second by volume. Travel Marketing: Ireland’s advertising watchdog said Ryanair’s promotion of Dakhla as a “Moroccan adventure” was likely to mislead and recommended the ad not run in its current form.
Dakhla Investment: French business leaders visited Dakhla to explore partnerships in fishing, tourism, agriculture, industry and renewable energy. Regional officials also promoted the future Atlantic port and the area’s links to African markets. Travel Marketing: Ireland’s advertising watchdog issued a preliminary finding that Ryanair’s ads describing Dakhla as a “Moroccan adventure” could mislead travelers; it recommended the ads not run in their current form. Spain–Morocco Trade: Morocco remained Spain’s leading fresh-produce supplier by value in the first seven months of 2026, with shipments worth €982 million, highlighting the scale of cross-border trade.
Dakhla Investment: French business leaders visited Dakhla to explore partnerships in fishing, tourism, agriculture, industry and renewable energy. Regional officials highlighted the planned Atlantic port and the area’s role as a potential gateway to African markets; the visit was exploratory, with no investment deals announced. Travel and Marketing: Ireland’s advertising watchdog has preliminarily found Ryanair’s promotion of Dakhla as a “Moroccan adventure” likely to mislead consumers, and recommended the ad not run in its current form. The ruling puts destination marketing under scrutiny as the airline promotes surf trips to the city.
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